Bertram31.com General Bulletin Board

Re: H Wilma

Posted By: andre fourrier-Louisiana
Date: Sunday, 23 October 2005, at 3:40 p.m.

In Response To: Re: H Wilma (Capt. Dave Kosh)

11:00 AM Sunday Advisory:
AS WILMA PASSES OVER THE LOOP CURRENT
TODAY...AND WHILE THE WIND SHEAR REMAINS WEAK ENOUGH... SOME
INTENSIFICATION IS CERTAINLY POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 18
HOURS... AS SUGGESTED BY THE GFDL MODEL. THE SHIPS GUIDANCE
FORECASTS A STEADY WEAKENING UNTIL LANDFALL... ALTHOUGH IT MIGHT BE
OVERESTIMATING THE IMPACTS OF SHEAR IN THE SHORT TERM. HOWEVER...IT
DOES APPEAR THAT THE SHEAR WILL STRENGTHEN IN THE HOURS PRIOR TO
LANDFALL AND AS WILMA CROSSES FLORIDA... SO WEAKENING IS INDICATED
IN THE OFFICIAL FORECAST BEFORE LANDFALL. WHILE THE BEST ESTIMATE
OF LANDFALL INTENSITY IS CATEGORY TWO...IT REMAINS POSSIBLE THAT
WILMA COULD REACH FLORIDA AT CATEGORY THREE INTENSITY
11:00 AM Sunday Advisory
Good luck Dave and others

Messages In This Thread

H Wilma *LINK* *PIC*
Capt Patrick McCrary -- Saturday, 22 October 2005, at 8:06 a.m.

Re: H Wilma
cwj -- Saturday, 22 October 2005, at 8:30 a.m.

Re: H Wilma
Capt. Dave Kosh -- Saturday, 22 October 2005, at 7:53 p.m.

Re: H Wilma
andre fourrier-Louisiana -- Sunday, 23 October 2005, at 3:40 p.m.