Bertram31.com General Bulletin Board

Update on Hurricane Rita *LINK* *PIC*

Posted By: Capt Patrick McCrary
Date: Tuesday, 20 September 2005, at 1:20 p.m.

In Response To: Hurricane Rita *LINK* *PIC* (Capt Patrick McCrary)

From NHC:

"RITA IS MOVING WESTWARD OR 270 DEGREES AT 13 KNOTS SINCE IT IS ALREADY SOUTH OF A DEEP LAYER MEAN RIDGE.

THIS PATTERN IS FORECAST TO PERSIST FOR THE NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS. THERAFTER...THE HIGH IS EXPECTED TO MOVE EASTWARD LEAVING A WEAKNESS OVER THE WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO.

THIS FORECAST PATTERN SHOULD EVENTUALLY FORCE RITA TOWARD THE NORTHWEST TOWARD THE TEXAS COAST. THIS IS ONE THE CASES OF RELATIVELY HIGH CONFIDENCE IN THE TRACK FORECAST SINCE MOST OF THE RELIABLE GUIDANCE ARE TIGHTLY CLUSTERED.

FOR THOSE WHO FOLLOW JUST THE SKINNY BLACK LINE...IT IS ALWAYS GOOD TO REMIND THEM THAT 3 TO 5 DAY FORECAST ERRORS CAN BE LARGE.

FORECASTER AVILA"

National Hurricane Center

Messages In This Thread

Hurricane Rita *LINK* *PIC*
Capt Patrick McCrary -- Monday, 19 September 2005, at 7:27 p.m.

H Rita -- 18:45 Satalite *PIC*
Capt Patrick McCrary -- Monday, 19 September 2005, at 7:35 p.m.

Re: H Rita -- 18:45 Satalite
Capt. Mike Holmes -- Monday, 19 September 2005, at 8:23 p.m.

Re: H Rita -- 18:45 Satalite
Capt. Dave Kosh -- Tuesday, 20 September 2005, at 9:53 a.m.

Re: Hurricane Rita
Capt. Doug Q. -- Tuesday, 20 September 2005, at 10:53 a.m.

Update on Hurricane Rita *LINK* *PIC*
Capt Patrick McCrary -- Tuesday, 20 September 2005, at 1:20 p.m.

Cat2 Hurricane Rita *PIC*
Capt Patrick McCrary -- Tuesday, 20 September 2005, at 1:58 p.m.

Re: Hurricane Rita
CMP -- Tuesday, 20 September 2005, at 1:58 p.m.

Re: Hurricane Rita
Capt Patrick McCrary -- Tuesday, 20 September 2005, at 2:23 p.m.

Re: Hurricane Rita
mike ohlstein -- Tuesday, 20 September 2005, at 2:36 p.m.

Re: Hurricane Rita *PIC*
Capt Patrick McCrary -- Tuesday, 20 September 2005, at 2:57 p.m.

Re: Hurricane Rita
Rawleigh -- Tuesday, 20 September 2005, at 3:31 p.m.

Re: Hurricane Rita
randall -- Tuesday, 20 September 2005, at 4:39 p.m.

Changin' hats... *PIC*
Capt Patrick McCrary -- Tuesday, 20 September 2005, at 10:18 p.m.

Re: Hurricane Rita
Tony Meola -- Tuesday, 20 September 2005, at 9:39 p.m.

Outa' the belt...
Capt Patrick McCrary -- Tuesday, 20 September 2005, at 10:07 p.m.