Bertram31.com General Bulletin Board

Calm before the storm... *LINK* *PIC*

Posted By: Capt Patrick McCrary
Date: Monday, 22 August 2005, at 7:04 a.m.

Well, it was nice to have over a full month of quite weather associated with the Tropics, but that’s likely to be just the Calm Before the Storm...

Late August through early October is almost always when the majority of the African fireworks happen. NHC has been plotting a wave for the past 36 hours & here's their current report:

"A 1008 MB LOW IS CENTERED ABOUT 160 NM SW OF THE SOUTHERNMOST
CAPE VERDE ISLANDS NEAR 14N27W...ALONG A TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 27W
THAT EXTENDS S OF 21N AND IS MOVING W 10-15 KT. SEVERAL LOW AND
MID-LEVEL LAYERS OF CLOUDS ARE MAKING THE EXACT CENTER OF THE
LOW A LITTLE DIFFICULT TO LOCATE...BUT THE BEST ESTIMATE PUTS IT
ABOUT A DEGREE N OF THE DEEPEST CONVECTION. THE CONVECTIVE
INTENSITY REMAINS THE SAME AS THIS AS EARLIER THIS EVENING WITH
CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM
11N-15N BETWEEN 25W-31W. LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE IS ALSO BEING PULLED
UP BEHIND THE WAVE AXIS AND MAY PRODUCE A FEW SHOWERS OVER THE
CAPE VERDES OVERNIGHT. GIVEN THE LARGE CIRCULATION AND LOW
PRESSURE NEAR THE CENTER...TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT IS
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HRS." -- NHC

It'll be almost 2 weeks before whatever it becomes makes the trip across the pond and threatens the US, but it'll be time well spent for those of us that need to further prepare...

Stay focused guys, an ounce of prevention is worth a pound of cure!

Br,

Patrick

National Hurricane Center